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Lottery vs Scratch Cards: Which Has Better Winning Odds?

Last updated: 17.11.2025
Clara Williams
Published by:Clara Williams
Lottery vs Scratch Cards: Which Has Better Winning Odds? image

Have you ever wondered whether scratch cards or lottery tickets offer better odds of winning? Scratch cards can be enjoyed without spending a penny and are games of chance. However, many Kenyan players prefer skill-based games, especially online.

In terms of profit, lottery tickets offer a greater payout than scratch cards. Unfortunately, the odds of winning the lottery are astronomically low, making it highly unlikely that you will ever win. Scratch cards, on the other hand, have smaller jackpots but more frequent payouts, making them a better bet financially than playing the lottery in Kenya.

This article explains how scratch cards work, the odds of winning, how much you can win, and how you will be paid if you win.

What Are Scratch Cards?

Scratch cards, also known as scratch-offs or scratchers, are a type of game of chance that is similar to the lottery but is significantly easier to play and offers quick prizes. Scratch card games are sometimes referred to as instant games because of this reason.

Both the designs and the games that are played with scratch cards can be varied. Still, the process for winning on a scratch card is the same no matter the product: simply scratch off the silvery coating to reveal your prize.

In most cases, the prizes offered by scratch cards are not even close to being comparable to those offered by lottery jackpots. The wins begin at KSh 100 and can reach millions of Kenyan Shillings in total.

It's simple to get your hands on scratch card games because you can buy them at just about any gas station or corner store. While the price of a lottery ticket can go as low as KSh 100, the value of some scratch cards can reach as high as KSh 10,000. The more expensive cards typically have larger prizes associated with them.

Comparing Scratch Cards vs. Lottery Games in Kenya

Lotteries often involve selecting numbers from a predetermined pool of up to 69 digits.

After making your decision, you'll need to fill out a play slip with your chosen numbers and give it to a lottery representative. The clerk will enter your choices into a computerized system, which will then print a lottery ticket to match your slip.

Lottery drawings normally occur twice weekly, usually on Saturdays and Wednesdays. Lottery officials utilize a specialized machine pre-loaded with balls bearing all of the numbers during the draw.

The balls are released from the machine at random. You are awarded the jackpot if all the numbers printed on your ticket are an exact match for the numbers printed on one of the balls that the machine has pushed out. The sequence in which the numbers appear on your ticket is irrelevant.

If more than one individual guesses the winning numbers, the pot will be divided proportionally among them. If there is no lucky winner, the jackpot increases until the following drawing. A larger jackpot usually means more people will participate in the next draw in the hopes of winning a piece of the pie.

Understanding Scratch Card and Lottery Odds

Scratch Cards: A Game of Chance

Scratch cards offer a straightforward gamble: you buy a card, scratch off the surface, and see if you've won a prize. The odds of winning are determined by two factors: the total number of tickets produced and the number of prizes. For instance, if a game releases 20 million tickets and offers 6 million prizes, the odds of winning any prize are approximately 1 in 3.33. However, these odds vary as tickets are sold and prizes are claimed.

Many lottery organizations provide information on the number of claimed and unclaimed prizes, which can help you understand your current chances of winning. Generally, the odds of snagging the top prize in a scratch card game are long - often 1 in a million - while the odds of winning smaller prizes are more favorable.

Lottery Odds: A Deeper Dive

Lottery games, such as Lotto 6/49 or Powerball, require players to select numbers from a large pool, with winners determined through random draws. The odds of winning vary significantly based on the game's rules and the size of the number pool. For example, in Canada's Lotto 6/49, the odds of hitting the jackpot are 1 in 13,983,816. This requires matching all 6 numbers from a pool of 49.

In contrast, Powerball and Mega Millions in the United States use larger pools of 69 and 70 numbers, respectively. The odds of winning the Powerball jackpot are about 1 in 292.2 million, slightly better than the 1 in 302.5 million odds for Mega Millions.

Are Scratch Cards Better than the Lottery?

It's important to note that while the lottery offers bigger payouts, the odds of winning are much lower than scratch cards, where the worst-case scenario odds are 1 in 12. Both lotteries and scratch cards are designed in such a way that the smaller prizes are more frequently won. Your chances of selecting one correct number out of a group of six numbers are better than your chances of selecting all six numbers correctly.

Scratch cards have a significant discrepancy in the number of cards printed for the smaller rewards compared to the number of cards printed for the larger prizes. Consequently, most scratch cards with a winning ticket will only be eligible for smaller amounts.

Based on the odds of winning any prize in a lottery or scratch card, which are one in twenty-four and one in twelve, respectively, it's highly probable that you'll win a prize if you purchase one of these games at least once every twelve purchases.

It's worth remembering that the easiest prizes to win are $2. This means that the odds of 1 in 24 and 1 in 12 will most likely result in a $2 win. Additionally, investing the same amount of money in both lottery tickets and scratch cards will double your money on the latter.

FAQ

What Are Scratch Cards?

Scratch cards, also known as scratch-offs, are simple games of chance popular in Kenya. You scratch off a designated area to reveal symbols or numbers, hoping to match a winning combination. Prizes vary, offering a chance to win anything from small amounts to substantial sums.

How Do Scratch Cards Work?

Playing scratch cards involves purchasing a card and using a coin or similar object to scratch off the surface. This reveals hidden symbols or numbers. If these match a winning pattern specified on the card, you win a prize. The process is quick and easy to understand.

What Are the Odds of Winning on a Scratch Card?

The odds of winning on a scratch card depend on the specific game. Generally, the odds are determined by the number of cards printed and the number of prizes available. For example, if there are 10 million tickets with 3 million prizes, your odds of winning something are about 1 in 3.33. Remember that these odds can change as tickets are sold and prizes are claimed.

How Are Lottery Numbers Selected?

In a lottery, players choose numbers from a set range. For example, you might select six numbers from a pool of 49. Once you've made your selection, you submit your entry for the draw.

How Often Do Lottery Draws Occur?

Lottery draws in Kenya typically take place on specific days of the week, such as Wednesdays and Saturdays. During the draw, numbers are randomly selected using a machine with numbered balls.

What Happens If Multiple People Win the Lottery?

If more than one person correctly matches the winning lottery numbers, the jackpot is shared equally among all the winners. If no one wins, the jackpot is rolled over to the next draw, often resulting in a larger prize pool and increased excitement.

What Are the Odds of Winning the Lottery?

Lottery odds vary significantly depending on the specific lottery game. For example, a local Kenyan lottery might have odds of 1 in 20 million, while larger international lotteries can have odds as high as 1 in 300 million.

Are Scratch Cards or Lottery Tickets a Better Bet?

Scratch cards typically offer smaller, more frequent wins, while lottery tickets provide the opportunity for much larger jackpots but with significantly lower chances of winning. Your choice depends on whether you prefer more frequent small wins or the slim chance of a life-changing jackpot.

How Much Can You Win on Scratch Cards?

Scratch card prizes in Kenya vary greatly. They can range from small amounts like 50 KES to larger sums reaching hundreds of thousands or even millions of KES. The price of the card often reflects the potential prize; more expensive cards usually offer larger prizes.

Is It Worth Playing Scratch Cards and Lottery?

Playing scratch cards and the lottery should be viewed as entertainment. Always gamble responsibly and within your means. Remember that these are games of chance, and there's no guarantee of winning. It's important to play for fun and not as a source of income. If you feel your gambling is becoming a problem, seek help from responsible gambling organizations in Kenya.

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