Scratch Card Odds Made Simple
Your chance of winning on a scratch card depends on how many tickets are printed versus how many prizes exist. For example, if a scratch game prints 20 million tickets and hides 6 million prizes, your odds of hitting any win are about 1 in 3.33. That said, the biggest prizes might have odds of around 1 in 1,000,000, while small rewards (like KSh 260) show up much more often.
Most issuers post live data on unclaimed prizes, so you can check which games are "hot" before buying. And if your luck runs dry, don’t be tempted to shout achana na mimi (leave me alone)—always stick to your budget and play responsibly.
Understanding Lottery Odds
Lottery games stack the deck in favour of the house with huge number pools:
- In Canada’s Lotto 6/49, your odds of matching all six numbers are 1 in 13,983,816.
- The U.S. Powerball jackpot sits around 1 in 292.2 million.
- Even bigger pools in Mega Millions push the odds to about 1 in 302.5 million.
While those international examples are eye-opening, Kenyan lottery draws follow similar principles—big pools, tiny chances.